Sunday, February 19, 2017

Justin's Juicy 100

I started making my own prospect big board for this year's upcoming NFL Draft. This is still a work in progress as I haven't watched enough tape to make my full assessment on all of the player's below. But enjoy it as it is!

Prospects Index:
Quality Starter
Better than Average
Role Players/ Back Ups
Need to watch more

  1. Myles Garrett, EDGE, Texas A&M – 12 of his 32 sacks came against SEC teams.
  2. Jonathan Allen, DT, Alabama – He had 145 career tackles, 43.5 TFL
  3. Solomon Thomas, DE, Stanford - 24.5 TFL in two seasons, Michael Bennet ceiling?
  4. Jamal Adams, S, LSU – In 3 years he missed 24 of his 191 tackles, true strong safety
  5. Reuben Foster, LB, Alabama - Do it all LB, 115 tackles, 13 TFL, 5 sacks in 2016
  6. Quincy Wilson, CB, Florida – 6’1” 215 pounds that can run, jump and catch
  7. Leonard Fournette, RB, LSU - Soph. tape is unreal with nearly 200 rushing yards
  8. Corey Davis, WR, Western Michigan - 331 catches 5278 yards, 52 TDs.Averaged a TD a game
  9. Mike Williams, WR, Clemson - #1 receiver with 98 receptions, 1361 yards, 11 TDs
  10. Derek Barnett, DE, Tennessee - Only SEC player to have 10 + sacks in 3 seasons
  11. Marlon Humphrey, CB, Alabama - Athletic corner with world record speed
  12. Malik Hooker, S, Ohio State – 3 pick sixes in one season as a starter(7 total INTs). Boom or bust
  13. Takkarist McKinley, EDGE, UCLA - explosive edge rusher with 10 sacks, 6 PDs (4.5 forty?)
  14. Marshon Lattimore, CB, Ohio State - Another Ohio State one year wonder? But has good size
  15. Malik McDowell, DT, Michigan State - 24.5 TFL in 32 career games
  16. Desmond King, CB, Iowa - Sure tackling CB, missed 11 out of 197 tackles
  17. DeMarcus Walker, DL, Florida State - Second in NCAA with 16 sacks
  18. Ryan Ramcyzk, OT, Wisconsin - Allowed 12 pressures in 2016, transferred 3 times
  19. OJ Howard, TE, Alabama - Extremely talented blocker but an even better receiver
  20. Dan Feeney, G, Indiana - Can play both guard spots and RT if need be
  21. Zach Cunningham, LB, Vanderbilt - Missed 34 tackles the last two years but runs very well.
  22. Jabrill Peppers, S, Michigan - Allowed 20 receptions on 27 targets with 1 INT in two years
  23. Montravius Adams, DL, Auburn - Do it all DT with 147 tackles in four seasons
  24. Teez Tabor, CB, Florida - INT or pass break up on 26.5% of his target
  25. Gareon Conley, CB, Ohio State -
  26. Sidney Jones, CB, Washington – Saw only 48 targets all year
  27. Marcus Williams, S, Utah - Can play FS or SS with 11 INTs, 4 FFs and 188 tackles
  28. Dalvin Cook, RB, Florida State - Jamaal Charles 2.0, led the league in missed tackles with 90
  29. Christian McCaffrey, RB, Stanford - Last 5 games rushing: 169, 199, 135, 284, 204
  30. Joe Mixon, RB, Oklahoma - Off field concerns but averages 3.7 yards after contact
  31. Deshaun Watson, QB, Clemson - Key for QBs, poise. Watson has that.
  32. Carl Lawson, DE, Auburn - Will injuries plague this dangerous edge player’s NFL career?
  33. Jarrad Davis, LB, Florida - Tough but injured, playmaker on defense
  34. JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR, USC - Bad tape against top CB prospects. Too slow to get open in NFL?
  35. Tim Williams, EDGE, Alabama – Pressure on 26% of his edge rushes, off field issues?
  36. Forrest Lamp, G, Western Kentucky
  37. Adoree’ Jackson, CB, USC - Corner, punt returner, kick returner
  38. Dawuane Smoot, OLB, Illinois - Why does he always run himself out of plays?
  39. TJ Watt, LB, Wisconsin - Another Watt with pass rushing skills? 11.5 sacks, 15.5 TFL
  40. Raekwon McMillan, LB, Ohio State - Great against the run, doubts against the pass
  41. Cam Robinson, OT/G, Alabama - Which Robinson will you get? The one who shutdown Myles Garrett or the one who got burned by Derek Barnett?
  42. Marcus Maye, S, Florida - Charles Tillman-esque with his ability to punch the ball out
  43. Justin Evans, S, Texas A&M -
  44. Taco Charlton, DE, Michigan - 7.5 sacks through a significant injury is pretty impressive
  45. Tre’Davious White, CB, LSU
  46. Chris Godwin, WR, Penn State
  47. Ethan Pocic, G/C, LSU - Better pass blocker that has paved the way for two great RBs
  48. Caleb Brantley, DT, Florida
  49. Charles Harris, EDGE, Missouri
  50. Haason Reddick, LB, Temple
  51. Cooper Kupp, WR, Eastern Washington
  52. Tanoh Kpassagnon, DE, Villanova - 21.5 TFL and 11 sacks for a traditional DE
  53. Pat Mahomes, QB, Texas Tech
  54. Zay Jones, WR, East Carolina
  55. DeShone Kizer, QB, Notre Dame
  56. Budda Baker, S, Washington
  57. Obi Melifonwu, S, UCONN
  58. Mitch Trubisky, QB, North Carolina
  59. Chris Wormley, DL, Michigan
  60. Ryan Anderson, EDGE, Alabama
  61. Curtis Samuel, WR, Ohio State
  62. Gerald Everett, TE, South Alabama
  63. John Ross, WR, Washington
  64. D’Onta Foreman, RB, Texas - 250 pound running back with nimble feet?
  65. Samaje Perine, RB, Oklahoma - Power running back that will get from point A to B.
  66. Alvin Kamara, RB, Tennessee
  67. Jourdan Lewis, CB, Michigan
  68. Carroll Phillips, OLB, Illinois - Terrible gap assignment player but has an ability to edge rush
  69. Evan Engram, TE, Ole Miss
  70. Jake Butt, TE, Michigan – ACL injury?
  71. Isiah Ford, WR, Virginia Tech
  72. Malachi Dupre, WR, LSU
  73. Anthony Walker, MLB, Northwestern
  74. Antonio Garcia, OT, Troy
  75. Martinas Rankin, OT, Mississippi State
  76. David Njoku, TE, Miami
  77. Jeremy McNichols, RB, Boise State
  78. Charles Walker, DT, Oklahoma
  79. Damore’ea Stringfellow, WR, Ole Miss
  80. Julie’n Davenport, OT, Bucknell
  81. Garrett Bolles, OT, Utah
  82. Wayne Gallman, RB, Clemson
  83. Dion Dawkins, OT, Temple
  84. Cordrea Tankersley, CB, Clemson
  85. Rasul Douglas, CB, West Virginia
  86. Shelton Gibson, WR, West Virginia
  87. Jordan Willis, EDGE, Kansas State
  88. Dede Westbrook, WR, Oklahoma
  89. Tyler Orlosky, C, West Virginia
  90. Jaleel Johnson, DT, Iowa
  91. Davis Webb, QB, California
  92. Davon Godchaux, DT, LSU
  93. Nazair Jones, DT, North Carolina
  94. Adam Bisnowaty, OT, Pittsburgh
  95. Brian Hill, RB, Wyoming
  96. Carlos Henderson, WR, Louisiana Tech
  97. Amara Darboh, WR, Michigan
  98. Bucky Hodges, TE, Virginia Tech
  99. Roderick Johnson, OT, Florida State
  100. Daeshon Hall, DE, Texas A&M
  101. Cameron Sutton, CB, Tennessee
  102. Brad Kaaya, QB, Miami
  103. Fish Smithson, S, Kansas State
  104. Devonte Fields, LB, Louisville
  105. Jordan Leggett, TE, Clemson
  106. Tyquan Lewis, DE, Ohio State
  107. Lowell Lotulelei, DT, Utah
  108. Josh Harvey-Clemons, S/LB, Louisville
  109. Chad Kelly, QB, Ole Miss
  110. Hardy Nickerson Jr, LB
  111. Eddie Vanderdoes, DL, UCLA
  112. James Conner, RB, Pittsburgh - Big powerback with deceptive speed and an incredible survival story
  113. Corn Elder, CB, Miami
  114. Marlon Mack, RB, South Florida
  115. Garrett Sickels, DE, Penn State

Saturday, February 4, 2017

Super Bowl LI Preview

Justin Rasile

The Super Bowl is here and it brings up a lot of feelings.  Joy because the Super Bowl is fricken awesome.  Somberness because this is the last NFL game we will have for quite some time.  Disgust because the Patriots are in it again.  So put down your beer and let’s talk about this game!

We all know the story.  Deflategate blah blah blah.  Tom Brady is tired of hearing it as much as Roger Goodell and the rest of the world is.  But truth be told, I’m sure it’s been wearing on Tom Terrific as well.  He’s had this pent-up angst and burning desire to shove a deflated football down Goodell’s throat but the NFL is a long season and at this point in the year your body and mind are beat down. So it will be interesting to see if Brady can maintain that fire during the game (most likely he can).

The high flyin’ Atlanta Falcons come soaring into Houston to hopefully make all of our wishes come true: a true beatdown of the infamous Pats.  Wouldn’t it be grand to see Atlanta go up three touchdowns with five minutes remaining in the first half?  Julio Jones has 125 receiving yards including a touchdown of over fifty yards. Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman have a combined 150 rushing yards and a touchdown each.  I think this is a little farfetched but let a life long Patriots hater dream.

Most would say this game will be an offensive explosion and surpass the all-time points scored in a Super Bowl of 75 (Super Bowl 29 when the 49ers beat the Chargers 49 to 26). I think it will be a decently high scoring game but nothing to that magnitude.  We have all seen in recent memory that defense wins championships and this year it will come down to who plays better on that side of the ball.  Bill Belichick and Dan Quinn are superbly intellectual and know what they need to do to stop offenses.  Quinn has a little bit more work to do as the average age of his secondary is under 25 years old.  Conversely, Belichick’s team has twenty-two players who have played in the big game (compared to Atlanta’s four). This will be an interesting part of the game to watch and see if experience really does trump.

This game will come down to Atlanta’s defense against Tom Brady and that short, controlled passing game.  The linebackers for the Dirty Birds will need to play a helluva game and they HAVE to tackle the running backs and receivers well in space.  Tom Brady needs to be hit hard and often. Dwight Freeney will have to find one last gear so that he can take some of the pressure off of Vic Beasley, who will undoubtedly be double teamed the entire game.  The Falcons need their role players to step up in a huge way.  Jonathan Babineaux, Ra’Shede Hageman and Tyson Jackson.  Somebody must penetrate that massively improved offensive line.

Some interesting stats to watch for.
  • The Patriots are undefeated when Dion Lewis plays for the Patriots (16-0)
  • Tom Brady has yet to be beaten by the Falcons (4-0)
  • Falcons scored the 7th most points in league history (540 points)
  • Tom Brady has 49 career game winning drives
  • The Falcons have scored on their first drive in eight consecutive games, an NFL record
  • In all of the Patriots Super Bowl victories, they lost the coin toss
It seems like a longshot but the Falcons have a great chance with that incredible offense. Kyle Shanahan must have a great gameplan against Belichick’s brilliant defensive mind. The Falcons also have a terrific defensive minded head coach in Dan Quinn, although his defense is not as good.  He has won a Super Bowl as defensive coordinator with the Seattle Seahawks and nearly beat the Patriots back in Super Bowl 49.  He knows how to beat the unbeatable New England team.

Let’s go for an in depth prediction because I have a gut feeling about the Falcons winning this game and some other prop bets:

  • Coin flip will be tails (or their version of tails)
  • At least two trick plays (fake punt/FG, suprise onside kick, double reverses, etc.)
  • One trick play involving a pass from Mohamed Sanu
  • Martellus Bennett scores the first receiving touchdown for New England
  • Devonta Freeman scores first Falcons touchdown
  • Malcom Butler will be exploited by Julio Jones as an overrated corner
  • Lime green Gatorade will be poured on the winning coach

Atlanta 31 - New England 27

Matt Ryan scores with a little over two minutes to go and leaves Tom Brady with just enough time for one of his famous game winning drives (as he has 49 in his career). Except this time he throws an interception to seal the game and give the Falcons their first ever Super Bowl victory.